大学生面对金融危机的英语演讲稿

第一篇：大学生面对金融危机的英语演讲稿

confronting the financial crisis ,what should we college students do ?

honourable judges ,ladies and gentlemen :

good morning!at the beginning of my speech , i’d like to make a brief introductoion about myself that i hope won’t bore you , my name is liu zijing ,who come from bozhou of anhui province ,i was admitted to huaibei coal industry teacher’s college in XX年,and major in chinese language and literature.my today’s speech is : confronting the financial crisis ,what should we college students do ?

when you walking along a street , an inevitable phenomenon you will find is that lots of shops or markets are selling their goods at a discount;when you visting a countryside ,an evident situation you will discover is that many workers are staying in their hometown.why ? that’s because the financial crisis that originated on wall street and swept the world has gone beyond the toy sector and bitten into the chinese economy.over the past six months,many labor-intensive factories have shut down ,leaving massive numbers of workers jobless.although our government have taken some effective measures to stimulate the need of employment , we also can’t deny the fact that the situation is still serious.according to expects , china’s gdp growth slowed to 9.9 percent down 2.3 percentage points from the same period lastyear and falling to single figures for the first time in five years.as a college students ,i can’t be more sensitive to the essential meanings behind thesenumbers ,basing on expects , the graduates in this year are more than 5 millions , to my surprise ,there are exceed 1 million can’t find position.so it seems very important for us college students to consider what should we do in the intensely competitive society , particularly during this special background---international financial crisis.from my own perspective ,we should do three things as follows :

in the first instance , we should turn an objective attitude towards the encironment and ourselves.although we college students used to be the “most-favored ”people in society ,we have received a higher education ,hance we are more intelligent and knowledgeable than our countparts who failed to attend college.society is developing in a very high pace and becoming more and more advanced , so we shoule know our own strengths and weaknesses and have the right attitude towards ourselves and the job vacancies ,in addition ,we should not attach too much importance to material aspects of the job.secondly ,we should have great ambition towards our future.ambitions are like the stars---we never reach them ,but like mariners ,we chart our course by them.no matter the successful merchant or official or scientist ,they have an idential personality---ambition.on the surfaceof the globe financial crisis , it brings the pessmisitic economic situations , but it still can’t prevent a person who have great ambition achieving his goals.just like george bernard shaw said :“people always blaming their circumstance , the people who get on in this world are the people who get up and look for the circumstance s they want ,and ,if they can’t find them ,make them.”

last but not the least, we should study to the best of our ability to acquire knowledge as much as possible.college is a place where we can enrich our knowledge and improve ourselves.as a college student , we should be these who have a strong sense of social responsibilities , up-to-date knowledge and comperhensive capabilities.but never idle away our precious time and make our college life perplexed and vacuous.only master extensive knowledge and lay a solid foundtion can we have a promising and bright future.my fellow friends ,please remember , “heaven never helps the man who will not act ” every man is the architect of his own fortune , no matter how wicked the environment is ,i do believe a brilliant and original person still can realize his value and make contribution to our society.thank you very much for your attention！!

第二篇：大学生面对金融危机的英语演讲稿

confronting the financial crisis ,what should we college students do ?

honourable judges ,ladies and gentlemen :

good morning!at the beginning of my speech , i’d like to make a brief introductoion about myself that i hope won’t bore you , my name is liu zijing ,who come from bozhou of anhui province ,i was admitted to huaibei coal industry teacher’s college in XX年,and major in chinese language and literature.my today’s speech is : confronting the financial crisis ,what should we college students do ?

when you walking along a street , an inevitable phenomenon you will find is that lots of shops or markets are selling their goods at a discount;when you visting a countryside ,an evident situation you will discover is that many workers are staying in their hometown.why ? that’s because the financial crisis that originated on wall street and swept the world has gone beyond the toy sector and bitten into the chinese economy.over the past six months,many labor-intensive factories have shut down ,leaving massive numbers of workers jobless.although our government have taken some effective measures to stimulate the need of employment , we also can’t deny the fact that the situation is still serious.according to expects , china’s gdp growth slowed to 9.9 percent down 2.3 percentage points from the same period lastyear and falling to single figures for the first time in five years.as a college students ,i can’t be more sensitive to the essential meanings behind thesenumbers ,basing on expects , the graduates in this year are more than 5 millions , to my surprise ,there are exceed 1 million can’t find position.so it seems very important for us college students to consider what should we do in the intensely competitive society , particularly during this special background---international financial crisis.from my own perspective ,we should do three things as follows : in the first instance , we should turn an objective attitude towards the encironment and ourselves.although we college students used to be the “most-favored ”people in society ,we have received a higher education ,hance we are more intelligent and knowledgeable than our countparts who failed to attend college.society is developing in a very high pace and becoming more and more advanced , so we shoule know our own strengths and weaknesses and have the right attitude towards ourselves and the job vacancies ,in addition ,we should not attach too much importance to material aspects of the job.secondly ,we should have great ambition towards our future.ambitions are like the stars---we never reach them ,but like mariners ,we chart our course by them.no matter the successful merchant or official or scientist ,they have an idential personality---ambition.on the surfaceof the globe financial crisis , it brings the pessmisitic economic situations , but it still can’t prevent a person who have great ambition achieving his goals.just like george bernard shaw said :“people always blaming their circumstance , the people who get on in this world are the people who get up and look for the circumstance s they want ,and ,if they can’t find them ,make them.” last but not the least, we should study to the best of our ability to acquire knowledge as much as possible.college is a place where we can enrich our knowledge and improve ourselves.as a college student , we should be these who have a strong sense of social responsibilities , up-to-date knowledge and comperhensive capabilities.but never idle away our precious time and make our college life perplexed and vacuous.only master extensive knowledge and lay a solid foundtion can we have a promising and bright future.my fellow friends ,please remember , “heaven never helps the man who will not act ” every man is the architect of his own fortune , no matter how wicked the environment is ,i do believe a brilliant and original person still can realize his value and make contribution to our society.thank you very much for your attention！!

参考译文！

面对金融危机，我们应该怎么做大学生吗？

可敬的法官，女士们，先生们：

早上好！在我刚的话，我想做一个简短的introductoion关于自己,因此我希望不会给你，我的名字叫刘××自安徽亳州的，我被××师范学院，并在XX年年中国语言和文学。我今天的演讲是：面对金融危机,我们应该怎么做大学生吗？

当你沿着街道，你会找到一个不可避免的现象是，许多商店出售他们的产品或市场的折扣；当你探望一位住院的乡村，呈现出明显的情况下，你会发现，许多工人正呆在自己的家乡。为什么？这是因为财务危机源自于华尔街和席卷世界已经超过了玩具行业和咬到中国的经济。在过去的六个月里，许多劳动密集型的工厂关闭，留下大量的工人失业。尽管政府已经采取了一些有效措施来促进就业的需要，我们也不能否认，但形势仍然严峻。据预计，中国的gdp增幅降至9.9%下降2.3个百分点，从去年同期下降到一位数，五年来首次。

作为一名大学生，我不能更敏感的基本含义的基础上，thesenumbers背后的毕业生预计，今年有超过5百万，令我惊讶的是，有超过1万人找不到的位置。如此看来对我们非常重要的大学生认为我们应该怎么做在竞争激烈的社会，尤其是在这个特殊的背景——-international金融危机。

从我的角度来看,我们应做的三件事：

在这个例子中，我们应该把客观的态度encironment和我们自己。虽然我们大学生曾经是“以人为本”most-favored在社会里，我们接受高等教育，我们更有智慧和高良知识比我们countparts那些没有上过大学。社会的发展非常高的速度和变得越来越先进，所以我们要知道自己的强项和弱点，并有正确的态度、自我和工作空缺，此外，我们不应过于重视材料方面的工作。

其次,我们应该对我们未来的远大抱负。野心就像天上的星星——我们永远够不着它们，但是我们像水手一样，用它们指引航程。无论成功的商人和官员和科学家，他们有一种idential个性——-ambition。在全球金融危机的数值，它所带来的pessmisitic经济形势，但它还是不能阻止一个人有很大的理想实现的目标。就像乔治·萧伯纳说：“人们总是指责他们的情况下，在这个世界上取得成功的人，都努力去寻找他们想要的环境史，如果找不到时，他们就自己创造机会。”

最后但并非最不重要的一点，我们必须学习去尽我们最大的能力去获得知识当做很多当做可能的。大学是一个地方，我们可以丰富我们的知识,提高自己的水平作为大学生，我们应当那些有强烈的社会责任感的最新的知识和能力，但从不不渝消磨我们宝贵的时间，让我们的大学生活的困惑和空洞。只有掌握广博的知识和打下坚实的foundtion我们可以有一个充满希望和光明的前途。

各位朋友，请记住：“天上永远不会帮助的人，必不每个人都是他自己命运的建筑师，无论多么邪恶的环境，我相信一个才华横溢的人还可实现,原来他的价值，为社会做出更大的贡献。”

非常感谢你的关注！

From:tjac237.com/dzpkgz/ dhsllb241.com/lhjyx/ pdsgjj242.com/dsjylc/ zqsgjj241.com/lhjwnykq/ cwxx216.com/ddxgz/

第三篇：大学生英语演讲稿：如何面对压力

good evening , ladies and gentlemen.i am joy and glad to give you a speech about stress , yes , just the topic you see on the screen.psychologist tell us that stress is a state of worry caused by the problem of living , such as too much work or study , heavy responsibilities , and quickened pace of life.statistics show that stress comes from every detail in our life.financial problems , poor health , being laid off may be the stress that most adults now suffering.as students in the university , we are also under our special stress.while study , having to take various tests and submit a project against a deadline may put a great pressure on us.and the things make us felt stressed may be our parents’s greater expectations on us than we could reach.later , when we are likely to graduate , some other problems will also annoy us.i think we will worry a lot about our ability to compete in the job market and how we can best use what we’ve learned at college in our future job.the chief problem we should face to is our atitude towards stress.people usually say they can not live in the sun except they escape from stress.it’s unwelcome!yes , however , very necessary.just image a world where stress does not exist and people lead their life in a very comfortable way.but is this kind of living condition as perfect as we hope ? without stress , they may feel very satisfied with the current life but lack of power to discover new things.too much satisfaction result in nothing except a countermarch of the society.no stress , no development.so a certain amount of stress is good.it can stimulate us and increase our level of alertness.and our answer to stress is another vital problem.how to do with ourselves when stress suddenly break into our life ? to wave the white flag and admit our unability , to give up to our ideality , or worstly , just to suicide as to put an end to everything … of cause not.the principle is to tackle with stress gentlely and harmoniously.we should try our best to release ourselves.such as to do some exercise , to linsen to traditional chinese music or classical music to ease our minds and to learn to view these changes of life as challenges.it’s no use crying over spilt milk.only to accept what has happened can solve the problem.ok , i think i was under large stress 3 minutes before , but now i am here and have finished my speech.here is the last thing i want to add to my topic ,face to it and overcome it ,stress is also a piece of cake.that is all.thank you very much!

第四篇：大学生英语演讲稿：如何面对压力

Ladies and gentlemen ,Good evening ,I am joy and glad to give you a speech about stress , yes , just the topic you see on the screen.psychologist tell us that stress is a state of worry caused by the problem of living , such as too much work or study , heavy responsibilities , and quickened pace of life.Statistics show that stress comes from every detail in our life.Financial problems , poor health , being laid off may be the stress that most adults now suffering.As students in the university , we are also under our special stress.While study , having to take various tests and submit a project against a deadline may put a great pressure on us.And the things make us felt stressed may be our parents’s greater expectations on us than we could reach.Later , when we are likely to graduate , some other problems will also annoy us.I think we will worry a lot about our ability to compete in the job market and how we can best use what we’ve learned at college in our future job.The chief problem we should face to is our atitude towards stress.people usually say they can not live in the sun except they escape from stress.It’s unwelcome!yes , however , very necessary.Just image a world where stress does not exist and people lead their life in a very comfortable way.But is this kind of living condition as perfect as we hope ? without stress , they may feel very satisfied with the current life but lack of power to discover new things.Too much satisfaction result in nothing except a countermarch of the society.No stress , no development.So a certain amount of stress is good.It can stimulate us and increase our level of alertness.And our answer to stress is another vital problem.How to do with ourselves when stress suddenly break into our life ? to wave the white flag and admit our unability , to give up to our ideality , or worstly , just to suicide as to put an end to everything … of cause not.The principle is to tackle with stress gentlely and harmoniously.We should try our best to release ourselves.Such as to do some exercise , to linsen to traditional chinese music or classical music to ease our minds and to learn to view these changes of life as challenges.it’s no use crying over spilt milk.Only to accept what has happened can solve the problem.Ok , i think i was under large stress 3 minutes before , but now i am here and have finished my speech.

第五篇：索罗斯面对金融危机演讲稿

本次金融危机的显着特点是危机并不是由外部因素,例如石油输出国组织提高油价造成的,而是由金融系统本身导致。目前普遍的金融理论认为金融市场最终趋向均衡,而偏离均衡是由于市场难以调整某些外部突发事件导致的。而金融系统本身存在缺陷这一事实促使人们开始怀疑这一理论。我总结了另外一种理论,与现在的理论主要有两点不同。第一,金融市场并不能准确地反映当前的市场环境,他们反映出的总是对现实状况的偏离或曲解。第二,市场参与者所持的并在市场价格中体现的这些曲解的观点在某些情况下影响了本应由市场价格体现的所谓基本面。我将市场价格和现实状况之间的双向联系称为“反身性理论”。

我认为金融市场具有反射性特点,并且在某些时候,他们会与所谓的市场均衡相去甚远。尽管金融市场总是具有反射性特点,但是金融危机只是偶尔,并且在非常特殊的情况下发生。通常来讲,市场会自动修正本身的错误,但有些时候市场上会出现某些错误的观点或认识,这些错误观点或认识会寻找一种方式强调正确的趋向,并且在这个过程中强调了这些错误观点或认识本身。这种自我增强的过程可能导致市场远离均衡。除非能尽快消除这种反射性的互动,否则这种趋势将持续,直到这些错误观点或认识足够明显,而必须被人们所意识到。当上述情况发生时,当前的错误趋向难以为续,发生逆转。因而当这种自我增强的过程反向运行时,将造成市场灾难性下跌。

市场繁荣和危机爆发总是不对称的。市场总是逐渐进入繁荣阶段并逐渐加速发展。市场危机的爆发总是在非常短时间内发生,并会迅速造成大幅的经济下滑。这种不对称性是由信用发挥的作用决定的。当价格上涨时,同样的抵押品可以获得更大额的信贷,而不断攀升的价格也创造出乐观的市场气氛,鼓励人们更多地利用信贷。市场达到繁荣的顶峰时,抵押品价值和财务杠杆的利用肯定也达到了极致。而当市场价格开始下降时,市场参与者无法承担追加保证金,正如我们现在看到的,抵押品被迫清盘导致市场发生灾难性下滑。

由此,市场泡沫由两部分组成:现实的趋向和对这种趋向的错误认识。最简单和最常见的密斯例子就是房地产。房地产市场的趋向是,一方面是贷款方不断提升的贷款意愿,另一方面是不断攀升的房地产价格。这其中存在的误解是房地产的价格在某种程度上是独立于贷款意愿的。这种错误观念促使银行家在价格不断上扬以及抵押贷款违约率减少的情况下放松了对贷款程序的管制。这就产生了房地产泡沫(包括美国最近发生的房产泡沫)。尽管房地产泡沫破裂已经有很长时期,但这种错误观念仍然以各种不同形式存在,着实令人吃惊。

市场泡沫不是金融市场反身性的唯一证明,但却是最显着的。市场泡沫总是伴随着信贷的扩张和收缩,并且带来灾难性的恶果。由于金融市场容易产生泡沫,而泡沫会扰乱市场,因此金融市场大多受金融监管机构的监管。在美国设有美联储、财政部、证券交易委员会等多家金融监管机构。

我们必须认识到,金融监管机构和市场参与者一样,利用曲解的市场观点做出判断。而金融监管机构可能尤甚于市场参与者,因为他们不仅是自然人,同时也十分官僚,而且受制于政治因素的干扰。因此,监管机构和市场参与者的互相影响也具有反身性的特点。与偶尔爆发的市场泡沫不同,监管机构和市场参与者之间的猫鼠游戏一直在持续,因此反身性的特点也一直存在,而忽略它的影响是错误的。但是当下普遍的金融理论恰恰忽略了反身性的特点,因而引发了当前严重的金融危机。

我在出版的第一本书《金融炼金术》中,曾经阐述过我总结的金融市场理论。最近出版的《金融市场新范式:2008年信用危机及其意义》一书中,我又更新了这一理论。在该书中,我认为,当前的金融危机与以往发生的很多金融危机不同。这个论断是基于这样的假设:美国房地产泡沫的破裂引爆了20世纪80年代以来逐步形成的更大的“超级泡沫”。

房地产泡沫十分简单;但超级泡沫则复杂得多。超级泡沫的发展趋势源于信贷和负债的不断增加。二战结束以后,美国的信贷增长速度远远快于GNP。可是,当罗纳德·里根担任美国总统,玛格丽特·撒切尔担任英国首相后,市场被错误认识所笼罩。因此,增长率不断加速,并在80年代呈现了泡沫的特点。

错误认识来源于当前的金融理论,正如我之前提到的,该理论认为,金融市场趋向均衡,偏离均衡只是由偶然的外部因素引发的。这种理论被用来说明追逐自我利益不应受到约束以及市场应放松管制是合理的。我把这种说法称作“市场原教旨主义”,并且我认为这种论断是建立在错误的论据基础上的。仅仅因为监管和其他形式的政府干预被证明是有缺陷的,并不能说明市场是完美的。

尽管市场原教旨主义源于错误的前提,但是它却符合财务资本所有者和管理者的利益。金融市场的全球化促使资本自由流动,也为单个州政府的征税和监管带来困难。金融交易的放松管制以及对创新采取的宽松环境提高了金融企业的盈利能力。无论在美国还是英国,金融业创造的利润都达到了所有企业利润总和的三分之一。

由于市场原教旨主义基于错误的假设,因此20世纪80年代将其作为经济政策指导原则的做法必将带来恶果。实际上,从那时起,我们已经经历了一系列金融危机。但是这些恶果对处在全球金融系统最边缘的国家造成了重创,而不是处于金融系统中心的国家。因为整个金融系统由发达国家,特别是在国际货币基金组织享有否决权的美国控制。

一旦金融危机对美国的繁荣产生威胁(例如20世纪80年代末的储蓄和贷款危机,以及1998年对冲基金公司美国长期资本管理公司的倒闭),政府就会出面干预,制定政策,解救受困的金融机构,在经济活动放缓的时候出台货币和财政刺激政策。因此,阶段性的危机实际上成为成功的测试因素,鼓励了更大规模的信贷扩张,以及金融市场应独立运行的错误认识。当然,是金融监管机构的干预,而不是金融市场修正本身错误的能力使得这些测试获得成功。但是投资者和政府倾向于自我蒙蔽。与出于金融系统边缘的国家相比,美国的相对安全和稳定促使美国极力吸引全球其他国家的存款,使得经常账目的保持赤字。2006年第一季度,美国经常账目赤字达到了占GNP7的顶峰。

最终,美联储和其他监管机构倾向于市场原教旨主义,放弃了监管的责任。他们更应该了解,正是他们的决策促使美国经济保持平稳。艾伦·格林斯潘尤其相信,宽松的金融创新环境将带来巨大的利益:而相对于创造的生产力,拯救偶然发生的金融灾难只是需要付出的很小的代价。当超级泡沫依然存在的时候,他对所坚持的自由主义政策进行的成本收益分析并未完全错误。直到现在,他才被迫承认他的论断存在缺陷。

金融工程包括为利用财务杠杆创造出人为的金融衍生工具,例如,债务抵押证券和信贷违约掉期等。它还包括为了使得利润最大化而利用日趋复杂的数学模型计算风险。这些金融工具的复杂程度之高使得监管机构无法计算风险,转而依赖金融机构自己的风险管理模型。信用评级机构在评估认为创造的金融工具时也采用了相似的做法:依赖于发行机构提供的数据信息,而评级机构在不断增加的业务中获得了相当可观的收入。这些神秘的金融工具和复杂的风险管理技术都是依赖错误的前提,即市场均衡的偏离总是偶然发生。但是金融工程不断向市场注入持续增强的信贷扩张的理念,打乱了所谓的市场均衡,并最终导致了危机。起初,偶发的金融危机只是成功的测试。但是次贷危机扮演了不同的角色:成为超级泡沫发展的顶峰,或者说是泡沫破裂的转折点。

必须强调的是并非一定要按照我的反身理论来分析解释这个超级泡沫破灭的现状。假使金融当局能够成功控制次贷危机(在他们认为本来能够控制次贷危机的时候),这也只是一次成功的尝试而非实质性的逆转。我的反身理论可以很好的解释目前的现状而非预测。他不像以前那些理论这么张狂。他并不像均衡理论那样所宣称的可以决定结果,但他可以断言一个繁荣最终会危机爆发,但是他不能决定繁荣期的范围和时间。事实上,对于承认房地产泡沫的人都希望其更快破灭。如果真是这样,危害会相对小很多,而且政府当局可以有能力让这个超级泡沫继续下去。绝大多数危害都是由于过去两年房地产泡沫终于按揭有关的证券所造成的。

新情况的发生并不能预测未来的解释了为何现在仍没有取得任何进展。而最近的经验表明,但是这一现象不能再继续被忽视。我们必须认识到,反身性理论将“不确定性”这一其它理乱所忽视的因素引入了金融市场。反身性理论可以用于建立数学模型来计算风险,或将捆绑次贷转换为可交易的证券。但是,反身性理论所涉及的这种“不确定性”是无法被数量化的。过度的信赖那些数学模型已经带来了巨大的损失。在我的书里,我曾预测如今的这场金融危机将是自二十世纪三十年代以来最糟糕的一次,而整个危机的发展进程甚至超出我最坏的预期。9月15日雷曼兄弟宣布破产时,意想不到的事情发生了:金融体系崩溃了。一家大型货币市场基金由于投资雷曼公司发行的商业票据损失了其部分资产,使得“货币市场基金中的投资永远是安全而具有流动性的”这一潜在保证被打破了。这引发了货币市场基金的恶性循环,并迫使作为商业票据市场中最主要买家的货币市场基金开始停止购买任何商业票据,从而导致了整个票据市场的失灵。因此,所有商业票据的发行人(即使最大、最有信用的公司)都被迫降低了他们的信用额度,这又使得银行间拆借处于停滞状态。信用利差(即高于无风险利率的风险溢价)被放大到前所未有的程度,并且导致股票市场充斥着恐慌情绪。而这一切都发生于短短一周之内。

世界经济仍被后续的影响持续拖累。各国政策制定者都注入大量的资金来恢复金融系统的活力,把这一点定位为重中之重。联邦储备的资产负债表短短几周时间从8000亿美元膨胀到了1.8万亿美元。当这样还尚显不足时,美国和欧洲的金融政策制定者都空开许诺,他们决不会放任任何一家大型金融机构倒闭。

这些前所未有措施开始显现一些效果:银行间拆借恢复,伦敦银行同业拆借利率有所改善。金融危机开始显现消退的迹象,但是对于国际金融中心银行不会倒闭的担保正在引起一个新的危机,而这还未引起各国政策制定者的重视:处于国际金融体系边缘的国家,比如东欧、亚洲、拉美地区的国家,他们并不能做出同样的担保,因此,金融资本正在从国际金融边缘国家向中心国家流动。相对于美元和日元,其他货币的开始贬值,其中一些贬值程度非常巨大。大宗商品价格一落千丈,新兴国家利率飙升。对于信用违约的保险费用也不断上涨。对冲基金和其它杠杆工具投资者承受了巨大损失,追加保证金通知及被迫抛售蔓延到了中心国家的股票市场。最近,信贷市场又重新开始恶化。

不幸的是,政策制定者一般总是后知后觉。国际货币基金组织正在设立一个新的信贷机构专为财政健康的金融边缘国家无条件提供5倍于年配额的贷款,但已经杯水车薪为时晚矣。重新稳定市场需要更多的资金。即使实力稍强的边缘国家可以渡过难关,那么国力弱小国家又将如何呢?拯救国际金融系统的战斗还在继续。即使最终成功,消费者、投资人、产业都已经收到巨大的冲击,这对国际经济活动已经产生全面而长久的影响。深层次经济衰退已经不可避免,造成类似于20世纪30年代的经济萧条也并非毫无可能。

这种严酷的形势对中国会产生何种影响呢?从很多方面来看,中国的情况要比其它许多国家要好得多。中国已经成为全球一体化主要的受益方。相对于其它国家来说,中国外汇储备充足,银行体系并未收到严重损失,中国政府相较别国政府参与了更多的政策选择。但是,中国却无可避免会受到全球经济衰退的影响。出口大幅缩减,铁矿石等大宗商品库存增加,股票市场比其国家下跌更加严重,而且房地产泡沫也开始破裂。中国需要刺激内需,但这还是远远不够,中国还需要在推动全球经济方面扮演更加主动的角色。否则,出口方面不可能有所好转。

包括国际货币基金组织和世界银行在内的国际金融组织也有了新的职责:保护处于国际金融体系边缘的国家免受位于该体系中心的美国所产生的金融危机的冲击。因为中国巨大的外汇储备,如果没有中国的协助,他们就不可能完成这样的职责。幸运的是,美国的新总统非常清楚国际合作的必要性。我们非常希望中国的领导人也同样能看清这种合作的重要性。

合作应该包括哪些方面呢?超级泡沫源于美国的消费超过其生产能力。2006年,美国经常项目赤字高达美国GDP的7。而这一高额赤字是通过中国和其它亚洲出口导向型国家和其它石油生产国越来越大的美元贸易顺差所支撑的。这种共生的关系现在已经结束,美国的消费已经不能再继续作为拉动世界经济增长的发动机。因此我们需要寻找新的动力。这意味着中国和世界其它国家要在经济衰退时期通过财政赤字政策刺激内需。中国可以做到这一点,但是正在受到金融资本外逃冲击的其它国际金融系统边缘国家无法做到。我们必须努力停止这种资本外逃,而且需要找到有效的方法来为这些边缘国家的财政赤字筹集资金。如果没有顺差国家和大量国家主权基金投入的支持,这就不可能实现。即使这样也许还远远不够,信用系统的崩塌和财富减少的如此严重,可用资金已经非常不足。或许有必要通过国际货币基金组织发行特别提款权等形式提供更多的资金。无论如何,刺激消费者需求也许最终仍并不是正确的方式,因为它包括了为支持信贷消费而产生的信贷扩张,而信用应该主要用于支持投资。

我相信会有其它的解决途径。世界正在对抗全球变暖这一严重紧迫的难题,为使环境问题得到控制,需要在节约能源和寻找替代能源方面进行巨大的投资。这应该可以成为推动世界经济的动力。为使这一切成为可能,我们需要针对巨大的碳排放制定一个国际准则,要求为燃烧煤炭产生的碳排放定价和支付费用。当然这样的国际准则制定没有中国的参与是无法实现的。

我希望可以现场回答你们的问题,我相信一定很多问题都会解决的!